11 Apr

Residential Market Commentary – BoC expected to stay on the sidelines

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Canadian economy seems to be ganging-up on the Bank of Canada as it tries to wrestle inflation back to 2.0%. The latest employment numbers, once again, came in well above expectations.  Statistics Canada reports 35,000 jobs were created in March, nearly triple what had been forecast.  As a result of the on-going demand from […]

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3 Apr

Residential Market Commentary – GDP’s double-edged sword

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The latest numbers from Statistics Canada show the country’s economy continues to chug along despite very deliberate efforts to slow it down. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy, rose by 0.5% in January.  Early indications are it was up by another 0.3% in […]

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21 Mar

Residential Market Commentary – Housing market optimism

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Instability persists in the Canadian housing market, but analysts say there are signs things may start to normalize in the coming months. The Canadian Real Estate Association reports that February home sales fell 40% compared to their peak in February of last year, just before the Bank of Canada started raising its trend-setting Policy Rate.  […]

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14 Mar

Residential Market Commentary – Taking a pause, but for how long?

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Bank of Canada has stepped to the sidelines bringing an end to a 12-month string of interest rate increases that pushed its trend-setting Policy Rate from 0.25% to 4.50%.  The question now is: How long will the Bank stay on the sidelines? Right now, there are plenty of market watchers who expect the BoC […]

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8 Mar

Bank of Canada hits pause on rate hikes

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate unchanged on Wednesday, a decision that marked the first time in over 12 months that the central bank has not announced a fresh rate hike. Having indicated in January that a 25-basis-point increase to start the year likely marked the end of its rising-rate trajectory for now, […]

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1 Mar

Bad News Is Good News for the Bank of Canada

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Statistics Canada released the real gross domestic product (GDP) figure for the final quarter of 2022 this morning, showing a marked slowdown in economic activity. This will undoubtedly keep the central bank on the sidelines when they announce their decision on March 8. The Bank had estimated the Q4 growth rate to be 1.3%. Instead, […]

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28 Feb

Residential Market Commentary – Optimism lives, but concerns persist

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The current wave of economic uncertainty does not seem to be drowning Canadians’ optimism about the housing market. The annual Canadian Real Estate Industry Trends Report from Re/Max suggests nearly one-third (32%) of Canadian home buyers and sellers have a positive sense that the market could become more balanced this year. There are, of course, […]

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21 Feb

Canada’s inflation rate drops again

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Canada’s annual rate of inflation fell to 5.9% in January, a higher drop than expected as yearly price growth continued to slow. Statistics Canada said on Tuesday that prices were up by 4.9% without taking into account increases in the cost of food and gasoline, although mortgage interest costs saw a huge spike of 21.2% […]

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15 Feb

Residential Market Commentary – Job data and inflation

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The latest piece of hard economic data has market watchers looking to see how the Bank of Canada will react. The January employment numbers show the economy added a stunning 150,000 jobs.  That is 10-times what was forecast and is the second out-sized reading in a row.  December saw a downwardly revised total of 69,000 […]

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7 Feb

Residential Market Commentary – It’s a pause, not a pivot

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Bank of Canada’s trend-setting policy rate is fixed until March, and the Bank’s leadership is proclaiming a “conditional pause” in the rate-hiking cycle.  That has led to a growing notion that interest rate cuts are coming.  Some forecasts say the Bank could pivot from raising, to lowering, by the end of the year. Financial […]

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