27 Oct

Residential Market Commentary – Another rate cut seems likely

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Canada’s latest inflation numbers have softened expectations for another rate cut by the Bank of Canada, but not by much. The September inflation report from Statistics Canada showed the annual inflation rate rose by 2.4% in September, up from 1.9% in August and higher than the 2.2% expected by analysts. The StatsCan report shows declining […]

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20 Oct

Residential Market Commentary – The latest analysis from CREA

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Increasing home resales across Canada took a breather in September, but prices held fairly steady. The Canadian Real Estate Association’s latest report shows sales dipped 1.7% last month compared to August, ending a run of gains that started back in April. Once again the Greater Toronto Area was the outlier, showing a year-over-year increase of […]

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6 Oct

Residential Market Commentary – Affordability Improves

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

A pair of new reports say housing affordability in Canada is getting better.  Ottawa’s fiscal watchdog, the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO), and well known housing economist Robert Hogue say falling interest rates and rising household incomes are the key factors in the improvement. In his report economist Hogue calculates the national average share of household […]

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9 Sep

Residential Market Commentary – Odds favour a rate cut

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Canada’s latest employment report has significantly increased the likelihood of an interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada on September 17. Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey (LFS) for August shows a loss of nearly 66,000 jobs for the month. That follows a drop of 41,000 positions in July. The August unemployment rate stands at […]

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25 Aug

Residential Market Commentary -Inflation eases slightly

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Canadian economy has recorded a small victory in the ongoing fight against the rising cost of living. Statistics Canada reports headline inflation, also known as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), dipped slightly in July to 1.7%.  That is down from 1.9% in June.  Much of that decline is attributed to lower gasoline prices, resulting […]

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12 Aug

Residential Market Commentary – Waiting for more data

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Bank of Canada’s next interest rate announcement is set for September 17.  Between now and then there will be plenty of economic data to digest. The latest significant report was Statistics Canada’s July employment reading, which surprised most analysts with a drop of nearly 41,000 jobs.  Most of those positions were full-time.  The unemployment […]

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6 Aug

Residential Market Commentary – Bank of Canada policy rate unchanged

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

The Canadian economy continues to keep policymakers at the Bank of Canada guessing.  The key contributor to the quandary continues to be U.S. tariffs, and that puzzle has just become even more complicated. As of August first, the U.S. increased its tariff rate on imported Canadian goods to 35%, up from 25%, except for products […]

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22 Jul

Residential Market Commentary – Real estate rebound

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Market watchers across the country are talking about a real estate recovery.  Much of the optimism is based on sales and pricing results over the past two months. The June figures from the Canadian Real Estate Association show a 2.8% increase in sales compared to May, which recorded a 3.5% increase over April. On a […]

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30 Jun

Residential Market Commentary – Bank of Canada balancing act

General

Posted by: Frank Fik

Expert opinions on Bank of Canada interest rate cuts are shifting. A growing number of market watchers are backing away from their predictions of two more reductions this year. Several are now saying the Bank has likely reached the end of the current trimming cycle. The central bank held its trend-setting Policy Rate at 2.75% […]

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